November 2009 Archives

Record highs vs. Record lows

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An interesting study done by the National Center for Atmospheric Research shows that in this decade, there have been more record highs set than record lows in the U.S.

As meteorologists, we're always looking for signs of impacts of climate change on day-to-day weather, and this appears to be a very tangible one.  Additionally, the study is based on readily available data, and doesn't attempt to leap to exaggerated conclusions.

Read the full summary at this link.
Weather conditions are looking pretty good for district final games Friday night and Saturday afternoon.  Even though we don't officially have "Blitz" coverage, we still have a Game of the Week - it's Byron Center at East Grand Rapids:

Blitz_Timeline.jpg

The full list of local teams in playoff games:

Division 1
R1-D1: Grand Haven (8-1) at Rockford (9-0) - F 7:00 PM

 

Division 2
R1-D1: Muskegon (6-3) at Lowell (8-1) - F 7:00 PM

R1-D2: Caledonia (7-2) at Portage Central (8-1) - F 7:30 PM 

 

Division 3

R2-D1: Byron Center (8-1) at East Grand Rapids (9-0) - F 7:00 PM

R2-D2: Stevensville Lakeshore (7-2) at St Joseph (7-2) - F 7:30 PM 

 

Division 4

R1-D1:

Big Rapids (8-1) at Kingsford (7-2) - S 2:00 PM

R1-D2:

Stanton Central Montcalm (6-3) at Saginaw Swan Valley (7-2) - F 7:00 PM

R2-D1:

Holland Christian (7-2) at Grand Rapids West Catholic (9-0) - F 7:00 PM

R2-D2:

Hamilton (8-1) at Three Rivers (9-0) - F 7:00 PM at Vicksburg HS

R3-D1:

Williamston (8-1) at Marshall (8-1) - S 1:00 PM





 

Division 5

R3-D1: Muskegon Heights (7-2) at Morley-Stanwood (9-0) - F 7:00 PM

R3-D2: Berrien Springs (7-2) at Wyoming Kelloggsville (9-0) - F 7:00 PM at East Kentwood HS 

 

Division 6

R1-D2: Sanford Meridian (8-1) at Montague (9-0) - S 1:00 PM at Holton HS

R3-D1: Constantine (7-2) at Watervliet (8-1) - F 7:00 PM

R3-D2: Michigan Center (6-3) at Bronson (7-2) - F 7:00 PM 

 

Division 7

R2-D2:

Ravenna (7-2) at Potterville (9-0) - S 1:00 PM

R3-D1:

White Pigeon (8-1) at Mendon (9-0) - S 1:00 PM

 

Division 8

R3-D1: Muskegon Catholic Central (5-4) at Climax-Scotts (9-0) - F 7:00 PM

R3-D2: Pittsford (6-3) at Colon (8-1) - F 7:30 PM



British Wines & Climate Change

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Here's a script that came in the international portion of our FOX News feed this morning:

"THE SOUTH OF ENGLAND COULD SOON RIVAL FRANCE AS A WINE-GROWING REGION... THANKS TO CLIMATE CHANGE.
  SOUTHERN ENGLISH VINEYARDS ARE STARTING TO COMPETE WITHIN THE INDUSTRY.
  WARMER SUMMERS AND MILDER WINTERS HAVE IMPROVED THE REGION'S GRAPES, MAKING FOR A MORE MARKETABLE PRODUCT.
CHRIS WHITE, GENERAL MANAGER AT DENBIES VINEYARDS says: "The red wine over the last few years has improved dramatically, both in terms of what we can produce here, in terms of the different varieties we can now grow here in the UK, but also the quality and quantity of what we can now grow here."
 SOME SCIENTISTS WARN GLOBAL WARMING COULD SHIFT GROWING PATTERNS FOR CROPS.
 WINEMAKERS ARE IN NO DOUBT - RISING TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY REDRAWN THE INTERNATIONAL WINE MAP."

This story is a good illustration of what I feel is the "moderate" position on climate change:  Something is happening to our global climate.  Stories like this illustrate those very legitimate impacts.  But popular media and politics cloud the issues.  Now, most of the discussion of climate change focuses on the screamers on either side of the spectrum, touting either impending doom or claiming a vast conspiracy to destroy America.

When you hear those people, I encourage you to tune them out.  While there are basic principles and ranges of future impacts that are scientifically sound at this point, there's still a heck of a lot about climate change that we still have to figure out.  Data manipulation and exaggeration of conclusions seem to be rampant on both sides, making even some of the science sketchy.  But it's certainly worthwhile to study the current impacts that we can observe, and work on improving both our short- and long-term forecasting abilities.  We can also strive to find economically and environmentally positive ways to improve the situation.  It doesn't have to be a tradeoff, if we're willing to commit the research time and resources to the issue, and end the useless bickering.

How do I know this is a moderate position?  Because I get complaints from both sides anytime I express it!

Feel free to comment below yourself, or drop me an e-mail.

Where in Michigan? Week 1

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On FOX 17 Morning News Wednesday, we kicked off a new "game" on our Morning News Live Blog.

I've picked out photos of a Michigan landmark, and I reveal pieces of the photo online throughout the morning.

It's just sort of a fun way to pass the time if you're checking out the show and have the computer on in the morning.

Here were this morning's photo clues, along with the full photo of the Kent County Courthouse.  Congrats to Danny, who was the first to guess the correct location!

WIM_1_A.jpg

WIM_1_B.jpg

WIM_1_C.jpg

WIM_1_D.jpg

WIM_1_E.jpg

WIM_1_Whole.jpg

Watch for another photo game next Wednesday!

Winter hazards awareness week

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Yep, it's that time again... here's today's official posting from the National Weather Service... full info at this link.

GOVERNOR JENNIFER GRANHOLM HAS DECLARED THE WEEK OF NOVEMBER 1
THROUGH 7 AS WINTER HAZARDS AWARENESS WEEK IN MICHIGAN.
THE MICHIGAN COMMITTEE FOR SEVERE WEATHER AWARENESS URGES ALL
MICHIGAN RESIDENTS TO PREPARE FOR THE COMING SEASON BY REVIEWING
SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MAKING SURE THEIR FAMILIES...HOMES AND
VEHICLES ARE READY FOR WINTER WEATHER.

WEATHER CHANGES CONTINUALLY IN MICHIGAN...AND THE COMING WINTER
IS LIKELY TO BRING EPISODES OF SNOW...ICE...AND BITTER COLD THAT WILL
PUT STRESS ON PEOPLE...ANIMALS...AND MACHINES. DRIVING BECOMES
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS IN SNOW AND ICE...SO BE SURE TO PLAN ALL TRIPS
CAREFULLY AND LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS.

VISIBILITY CAN BE REDUCED DRAMATICALLY AS MOTORISTS DRIVE INTO
FALLING SNOW. ADD TO THAT THE UNSEEN HAZARD OF ICE ON THE ROADS
AND THE SHORTER PERIODS OF DAYLIGHT...AND DRIVING DURING THE
WINTER CAN OFTEN BECOME TREACHEROUS. NOW IS THE TIME TO REVIEW
DRIVING HABITS AND ALSO TAKE STOCK OF SAFETY PLIES.

DO NOT ABANDON YOUR CAR AND WALK INTO A SNOW STORM. IN CASE YOU
ARE STRANDED...YOUR VEHICLE SHOULD BE EQUIPPED WITH AN EMERGENCY
KIT. AN EMERGENCY KIT SHOULD INCLUDE BOOSTER CABLES...SHOVEL...
TOW ROPE...SAND OR CAT LITTER...AND A FLASHLIGHT WITH EXTRA
BATTERIES. DO NOT FORGET A FIRST AID KIT...NON PERISHABLE FOOD...AND
BLANKETS OR SLEEPING BAGS. KEEP YOUR GAS TANK NEAR FULL TO AVOID
ICE IN THE TANK AND FUEL LINES.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE MICHIGAN
COMMITTEE FOR SEVERE WEATHER AWARENESS...WILL ISSUE DAILY
INFORMATION STATEMENTS THIS WEEK...OFFERING OTHER WINTER WEATHER
SAFETY TIPS AND DEFINITIONS OF WINTER WEATHER TERMS.

Wet Octobers & Winter

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Grand Rapids just wrapped up the 2nd wettest October on record.  When we get to this time of year, folks always ask me, "What does that mean for the winter?"  So, I thought I'd oblige by looking at the rest of the list.

10 Wettest Octobers on Record in Grand Rapids

Year     Following Season Snowfall
------------------------------------------------------------
1954     72.3"
2009     ????
2001     105.3"
1911     53.5"
1969     84.6"
1941     69.0"
1991     87.8"
1959     90.7"
1988     62.4"
1990     60.6"

Average snowfall in Grand Rapids is essentially 72" (6 feet).  So, the range here is all over the place, from well below average to well above average.  One year right at the average, four below, and four above.

In other words, there's nothing you can take away from that one piece of data.  Regardless, you always have to be careful when trying to make these sorts of correlations and predictions.  Even the Climate Prediction Center's forecasts deal in probabilities, not what we call "deterministic" forecasts.  So it's very easy to read too much into any conclusion you might reach from this sort of analysis.

I'll discuss that further in the coming weeks.

About this Archive

This page is an archive of entries from November 2009 listed from newest to oldest.

October 2009 is the previous archive.

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